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2020-10-14 · In Michigan, 45 polls were publicly released, and Trump led in just two, one of which was Trafalgar’s final 2016 study. In Wisconsin, 33 polls were taken, and none found President Trump running ahead. Yet, in all three cases, he won the state. The Great Lakes/Mid-Atlantic region was not the only area where 2016 polling missed the mark.

29 Oct 2020 Robert Cahaly foresaw the outcome in 2016. Will 'social acceptability bias' deliver another surprise? 6 Dec 2020 At one point, CNN/SSRS poll had President Donald Trump down by 16 points overall. Going into the election, ABC News/Washington Post poll 2 Nov 2020 On the eve of Election Day, President Donald Trump edges ahead of Joe Biden in North Carolina polling, according to one widely followed 19 Oct 2020 On Election Day 2016, noted polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight gave Donald Trump a 28.6 percent chance of winning the election.

Yes, those crosstabs by the Trafalgar Group are "crazy." Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube. Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahaly told Fox News host Sean Hannity on Tuesday night he sees President Trump being reelected, citing a "hidden vote" Cahaly says is predominantly missing Trafalgar polls from today are gone on 538 Politics I was looking through the latest polls and noticed that Nate or someone at 538 seemingly removed today's batch of Trafalgar polls that were up earlier, except North Carolina for some reason. Michigan Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group. In response, 46.5% said they would vote for Trump; 45.9% said they would vote for Biden.

2020-11-05

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2020-08-22

4.6% are undecided. Without leaners included, Loeffler leads 47.5% to 42.4%, a similar margin.

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It first publicly released polls in 2016. The company has tended to produce polls that show more support for Trump than other pollsters do. MI Oct 29, 2020 Presidential Poll TOTALS (with leans) Donald Trump 49.1% Joe Biden 46.6% Jo Jorgensen 2.1% Someone Else 1.2% Undecided 1.1% See Report Here The Trafalgar Group founder Robert Cahaly tweeted Saturday the survey began after President Donald Trump floated the possible matchup at a Dec. 4 campaign rally to whip up support for GOP Sens.

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In response, 46.5% said they would vote for Trump; 45.9% said they would vote for Biden. In the Florida statewide poll, conducted Oct. 11-13, Trafalgar asked 1,051 likely voters the same question asked in Michigan. Florida Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group. 2020-10-11 · If you are following the polls on RCP closely, like I have been, you have probably noticed the Trafalgar polls, which are always a few points to the right of everyone else. I was troubled by this 2020-11-01 · Such polls seem to boil down to Rasmussen Reports, which consistently — and in isolation — has a rosier picture for the president nationally than other surveys do, and the Trafalgar Group The Trafalgar Group grabbed attention this weekend when it released a poll showing Donald Trump leading Joe Biden 46.6 percent to 45.2 percent in Michigan and GOP Senate candidate John James 2012-11-10 · Polls by American Research Group and Mason-Dixon also largely missed the mark.

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Yet, in all three cases, he won the state. The Great Lakes/Mid-Atlantic region was not the only area where 2016 polling missed the mark.

Georgia Senate Runoff December 18 Poll TOTAL (with leans)David Perdue 50.2%Jon Ossoff 47.5%Undecided 2.3% TOTAL (with leans)Kelly Loeffler 52.2%Raphael Warnock … 2020-11-05 2021-01-03 Polling Methodology. The Trafalgar Group delivers our polling questionnaires utilizing a mix of six different methods: Live callers. Integrated voice response. Text messages. Emails. Two other proprietary digital methods we don’t share publicly.